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"Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night":The Issues Surrounding the Aging Process



Number: 00S01. Issue: Spring 2000

Author[s]:
Jennifer Co and Viet Nguyen

Keywords:


Abstract:


In a rapidly globalizing society, the process of aging is one of the few things that connects and defines us all, regardless of the diversity of social and cultural factors that embody the nature of humanity.  Contrary to what is popularly espoused, the issue of aging is not one that should be of concern only to the elderly, but rather to society as a whole.  We are all experiencing the process of aging, regardless of age. 

            Robert Arking, author of Biology of Aging, cites the following four conditions as being necessary elements of fundamental age-related changes:

1.  They must be deleterious; that is, they must reduce function.

2.  They must be progressive; that is, they must take place gradually.

3.  They must be intrinsic; that is, they must not be the result of a modifiable environmental agent.

4.  They must be universal; that is, all members of a species should show such gradual deficit with advancing age.

Even though each individual ages in his or her own particular, and thus not uniform, way, most would agree that these conditions are particularly useful in defining the process of aging.  By defining aging in this way, it is easier for us to examine the aging process and how it interacts with other factors important to the human life cycle.

            Today, approximately 32 million Americans are aged 65 and over, with the growth of the elderly community expected to rise rapidly as the Baby Boomer generation reaches old age.  Additionally, the number of older people is steadily rising worldwide.  With the median age worldwide hovering around 26 years presently (up from about 23 at mid-century), the number is expected to only increase further, with the projected median almost touching 40 by the year 2050.  With all the pressing issues that we face in relation to aging today, it is becoming increasingly important to address those issues surrounding aging.  It is widely believed that increased life expectancy is an inevitable consequence of economic growth.  As economies grow and prosper, more resources are made available to improve the standard of living in regions all over the world, thereby making life easier to live and extending the population?s lifespan. 

            Given such an economic reasoning for the advent of the population aging, it is only appropiate that economic reasons be behind two of the issues that are of great importance to Americans in today?s older community.  Social Security and health care consistently garner nationwide attention and oftentimes appear to be two of the most important issues in the minds of Americans today.  Declining mortality has taken an increasingly important role in national discussions of public policy, and intergenerational inequities have been discussed in great detail on Capitol Hill.  It is expected that future generations will have to pay much higher taxes than we currently face, a scenario that can mostly be attributed to the rising costs of publicly funded health care services.  An important part, however, is accounted for by the aging population, a result of both declining mortality and low fertility. 

            The Baby Boomer generation, which accounts for approximately 77 million of the world?s population, has not reproduced a comparable number of offspring.  This decrease in the labor force, when combined with the increased life expectancy of a large proportion of our population, causes considerable concern when dealing with the problem of who will pay for the services of social security and health care.  How is the younger generation entering the work force in the coming years going to support the Social Security and Medicare programs that their parents will use as they retire? Social Security and Medicare comprise the government's first and second largest social programs, respectively. But without fundamental changes to the Social Security system, the program will be unable to cover all of its expenses starting in 2034.

            The financial stability of Medicare faces an equally intimidating challenge, especially with the rising costs of health care. A March 1999 report by the Medicare board of trustees estimates that the program, in its current state, can survive until 2015. The Congressional Budget Office puts the date at 2012.

            In short, both Medicare and Social Security are going to be hit hard by the aging of the U.S. population--in particular, with the retirement of the baby boom generation.  But the Medicare fund is scheduled to reach zero well before that even happens.  This scenario can be explained by the rapid rise in medical costs, a rise that is significantly greater than that observed in other major expenditures and greater than the rise in incomes.  Thus, the recent economic prosperity, while allowing us to live longer, healthier lives, is also contributing to the inflation of health care costs, creating a sort of catch-22 in this regard.  Despite this fact, there is hope.

            Perhaps some of the burden on Social Security and Medicare will be eased by an increase in the average age of retirement. An increased awareness of aging in the population can lead to better preventive health care, and ways of how people can take better care of themselves. A healthier aging workforce may want to work longer, seeing no need to retire if they still feel productive.  The problem is, however, that many older workers are forced into early retirement by employers that believe the benefits of hiring younger employees (fresh legs=fresh ideas) outweigh the productivity via experience and loyalty that older employees offer.  The combination of early retirement,  decreased fertility, and rise in life expectancy among the old exacerbates the already acknowledged and increasingly unwieldy problem surrounding Social Security and Medicare.  What lies ahead is a continued rise in the ranks of the retired, a phenomenon dubbed the "Florida effect" by Peter Peterson, and a decrease in the working-age population.  This spells impending doom for the current Social Security program.  Reforms to the current program are being discussed and given increasing attention by the government.  (See Social Security Reforms Sidebar for more information.)

            Up until now, older workers have made up a comparatively small share of the workforce.  However, at the turn of the century, there are more workers over the age of 40 than under 40 for the first time.  This fact, when combined with the misconceptions that many employers have regarding an older work force, explains, in part, the pressures many employees face concerning early retirement.  Because older workers make more money than others, based on seniority, profit-minded (and thus, cost-conscious) employers often seek younger workers willing to work 60-80 hour weeks for half the salary senior employees demand.  The common perception is that older workers are paid more in spite of, rather than because of, their extra productivity.  Although it appears to be the case that when older people do heavy physical work, their age may be detrimental to their productivity, other skills that come with experience have often been found to increase rather than decrease with age.  These skills are particularly useful and important to the majority of employers, including many that are crucial for good management.

            It will become increasingly apparent in the coming years that many of the issues surrounding the elderly population will concern women.    According to the U.S. Census Bureau, American women consistently outlive American men; and, combined with the push towards equality between the sexes, such data seems to indicate that progressively more research will be focused on issues surrounding women.  Increasing equality and increasing numbers of women lead to increased demand; increased demand will eventually lead to an increased supply.  Life expectancy at birth for females today of at least 80 years "has become the norm" and the average gap in life expectancy between the sexes is approximately seven years in developed countries.

            However, the topic of aging is not limited to the developed world.  Again, with the boom in medical technology and economic prosperity, many developing nations are experiencing the positive spillovers of such advances in developed nations.  We will explore the topic of global aging in further detail later on in this special report.

            It may become possible, in the not too distant future, to extend a person?s average life span to the centurion mark, and perhaps beyond that. But is this even desirable? As professionals in the field of aging, a field that has grown extensively only in the past half-century, the answer to this question becomes apparent: as Robert Arking so eloquently put it, "Given our present state of knowledge, it is more beneficial to opt for a healthy and vigorous, albeit finite, life than to search in vain for the elixir of immortality." Instead of searching for that fountain of youth, we should instead focus on the problems at hand that have come to light with the advent of population aging.  By improving the quality of life first, through solving (or at least working to solve) such problems that will affect us as we age, we will make life, and the living of that life to its fullest extent, easier and healthier.  We can thus prolong life with our own two proverbial hands, creating, in essence, our own version of the fountain of youth. 

 

References:

Arking, Robert. Biology of Aging, 2nd edition. Sinauer Associates, Inc.: 1998.

Diamond, Peter A. "The Future of Social Security." Social Security: What Role for the Future? National Academy of Social Insurance: 1996.

Fox, Steve. "Special Report: Medicare." Washingtonpost.com. May 5, 1999. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/poli            tics/special/medicare/issue.htm

Fuchs, Victor R. "Some Economic Aspects of Mortality in Developed Countries." The Health Economy. Harvard University Press: 1986.

Lee, Ronald and Shripad Tuljapurkar. "Death and Taxes: How Longer Life Will Affect Social Security." December 1, 1999. http://www.demog.berkeley.edu/~rlee/papers/deathtax/

Pianin, Eric.  "In Social Security Debate, Politics is Key Player." Washington Post. Sunday, October 31, 1999. Page A04.

Title from poem by Dylan Thomas of the same name.

 

Proposed Social Security Reforms

Here are some Social Security Reforms currently being explored:

 

*Raise the Retirement Age: Increase the age at which one can receive full benefits.  At present, full benefits are available at 65, and reduced benefits can be collected at 62.  Starting in the next century, the retirement age for full benefits will gradually increase from 65 to 67.

*Increase Payroll Taxes

*Increase the Number of Years for Calculating Benefits: For current retirees, Social Security calculates the benefit using the highest 35 years of income.  Recent proposals suggest adding 3-5 years to that total.

*Create Individual Retirement Accounts: Some recent plans suggest diverting part of Social Security taxes into individual accounts while retaining a basic benefit.  Other proposals suggest privatizing the entire system, with individual accounts replacing Social Security.

*Cost of Living (COLA) Adjustments: Every year Social Security benefits change to keep pace with the federal government?s Consumer Price Index, which measures the change in the cost of a market basket of goods and services purchased by a typical worker.  The annual COLA adjustment, which is automatic, guarantees that the buying power of the benefit check will not lag behind the rate of inflation.  Some proposals suggest reducing the COLAs to save money.

*Benefit Reduction: Some propose across-the-board reductions in benefits for all beneficiaries.

*Increase the Amount of Earnings Subject to Payroll Tax

*Reduce Benefits for the More Affluent

*Use Federal Budget Surplus for Retirement Accounts: The federal government is running a budget surplus for the first time in 30 years.  Some suggest investing the money from the surplus in special new retirement accounts for each American.  The funds would be invested in stocks and bonds, and would provide extra cash at retirement, in addition to Social Security benefits.

*Changing the Current Formulas for Taxing Social Security Benefits: Some reformers have suggested taxing as ordinary income any Social Security benefits that exceed the amount that a worker has contributed to the system.

 

Source:

The National Council on Aging

http://www.ncoa.org/ssreform/proposed_reforms.htm