Probability

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  • Can one have a process which is at once a Markov provess and a martingale? What if the state space is assumed to be finite?
  • The type of convergence in the Central Limit Theorem is the convergence in distribution. Why isn't the convergence almost sure?
    • HINT: What are the \liminf and \limsup of the values? Prove it.
  • What is the difference between convergence in probability and convergence almost surely? (Klass)
  • Give a sequence that converges in probability but not almost surely. (Klass)
  • State the Weak Law of Large Numbers. (Blackwell)
  • State and prove Kolmogorov's Law of Large Numbers. (Blackwell)
    • State a stronger Law of Large Numbers. (Blackwell)
  • What general technique is used to prove the Strong Law of Large Numbers from the Weak Law of Large Numbers? (Klass)
  • Give an example of a distribution on which the WLLN applies but the SLLN does not. (Blackwell)
  • Write down the definition of a martingale and state a convergence theorem. (Aldous)
  • Given a real-valued function F on [0,1) define functions fn on [0,1) by setting, for k2^n\leq x<(k+1)2^n, fn(x) = F((k + 1)2n) − F(k2n) / 2n What does this have to do with convergence of martingales?
  • What condition can be imposed on F so that fn converges a.e. (according to the martingale convergence theorem)? What additional assumption will guarantee that F(x)-F(0)=\int_0^x\lim f_n?

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