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   Author  Topic: 6 silver coins  (Read 999 times)
Noke Lieu
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6 silver coins  
« on: Sep 13th, 2011, 10:51pm »
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Over here, we have silver coins : 5c 10c 20c 50c
 
I have a game, where I give you 6 randomly selected silver coins.  
What totals could you recieve?  
What would you be prepared to pay in order to play this game?
« Last Edit: Sep 14th, 2011, 5:38pm by Noke Lieu » IP Logged

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SMQ
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Re: 6 silver coins  
« Reply #1 on: Sep 14th, 2011, 7:29am »
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If I've done this all correctly (by pen and paper) there are 84 distinct combinations of coins giving 45 unique totals: all the five-c increments from 30c through 230c except 205c, 240c, 255c, 260c, 270c and 300c.  140c is the most common total, occurring in 225 of the 4096 possible draws.  Finally, I would be willing to pay anything up to 125c to play the game repeatedly.  (Others might be willing to go as high as 127.5, but I dislike small coins. Wink)
 
--SMQ
 
edit: nope, hadn't done that all correctly--let's try again! corrected two errors in my calculations
« Last Edit: Sep 14th, 2011, 9:47am by SMQ » IP Logged

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Grimbal
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Re: 6 silver coins  
« Reply #2 on: Sep 14th, 2011, 8:03am »
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Hm...  Not sure I agree with you.

Assuming each face value has 1/4 chance to show up, then on average each coin is worth 85/4 = 21.25.  Six coins would be worth 255/2 = 127.5 on average.
 
In theory I would be willing to pay up to 127c.
 
In practice I should consider the time it takes to play a round, the expenses that go with playing and convert the earnings to an hourly rate.  Then see if I am willing to do such a boring job.
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SMQ
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Re: 6 silver coins  
« Reply #3 on: Sep 14th, 2011, 9:46am »
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Right you are!  Embarassed  Found and corrected two errors in my work, both in converting coin patterns (e.g. AABBCD) to their proper total value.  I believe we are now in agreement.
 
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