Google scholar profile
Working papers
Published and forthcoming
Other writing

Working papers

"Adaptation to climate change: Evidence from US agriculture". (with Kyle Emerick) Under review. [Updated Sep 2013]

"Selling low and buying high: an arbitrage puzzle in Kenyan villages". [New Nov 2013]

"Climate and civil war: is the relationship robust?" NBER working paper w16440 (with Ted Miguel, Shanker Satyanath, John Dykema, and David Lobell). [Economist coverage]

Published and forthcoming

Marshall Burke, Erick Gong, and Kelly Jones. "Income shocks and HIV in Africa ". Accepted, Economic Journal

"Incorporating climate uncertainty into estimates of climate change impacts" (with Ted Miguel, Shanker Satyanath, John Dykema, and David Lobell). Accepted, Review of Economics and Statistics. [Replication data]

Sol Hsiang*, Marshall Burke*, and Ted Miguel. 2013. Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict. Science. (*denotes equal authorship) [paper][summary] [supplement] [replication data] [NYTimes op-ed] [Some of the press: BBC, CNN, the Atlantic, LATimes, WashingtonPost, Time, NatGeo, Bloomberg, Nature, The Onion] [blog post responding to critics]

Sol Hsiang and Marshall Burke. Climate, conflict, and social stability: what does the literature say? Forthcoming, Climatic Change.

[book] Climate Change and Food Security: Adapting Agriculture to a Warmer World. 2010. David Lobell and Marshall Burke, eds. Springer. [Overview chapter.] [Adaptation chapter.]

Jen Burney, Lennart Woltering, Marshall Burke, Roz Naylor, Dov Pasternak. 2010. Solar powered drip irrigation enhances food security in the Sudano-Sahel. PNAS.

Tom Hertel, Marshall Burke, and David Lobell. 2010. The poverty implications of climate-induced yield changes by 2030. Global Environmental Change.

David Lobell and Marshall Burke. 2010. On the use of statistical models to predict crop yield responses to climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology.

Marshall Burke, Edward Miguel, Shanker Satyanath, John Dykema, and David Lobell. 2009. Warming increases risk of civil war in Africa. PNAS. [supplemental information.] [replication data.] [response to Sutton et al.] [press coverage.]

Marshall Burke, David Lobell, and Luigi Guarino. 2009. Shifts in African crop climates to 2050, and the implications for crop improvement and genetic resources conservation. Global Environmental Change 17, 317-325.

David Lobell and Marshall Burke. 2008. Why are agricultural impacts of climate change so uncertain? The importance of temperature relative to precipitation. Environmental Research Letters, September 2008.

David Lobell, Marshall Burke et al. 2008. Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319, 607-610. [press coverage.]

Marshall Burke, Kirsten Oleson, Ellen McCullough, and Joanne Gaskell. 2008. A Global Model Tracking Water, Nitrogen, and Land Inputs and Virtual Transfers from Industrialized Meat Production and Trade. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, June 2008.

Roz Naylor, David Battisti, Dan Vimont, Walter Falcon, and Marshall Burke. 2007. Assessing risks of climate variability and climate change for Indonesian rice agriculture. PNAS.

Jim Galloway, Marshall Burke et al. 2007. International trade in meat - the tip of the pork chop. Ambio, 36(8).

Roz Naylor, Adam Liska, Marshall Burke, and others. 2007. The ripple effect: biofuels, food security, and the environment. Environment 49, 30-43.

Other writing

"Temperature and violence" [Comment on Raleigh et al], Nature Climate Change, April 2014 (with Mark Cane, Ted Miguel, Sol Hsiang, David Lobell, Kyle Meng, and Shanker Satyanath)

"Weather and violence", New York Times op-ed, August 30th, 2013 (with Sol Hsiang and Ted Miguel).

"Climate robustly linked to African civil war" [Comment on Buhaug 2010], PNAS, 2010. (with Ted Miguel, Shanker Satyanath, John Dykema, and David Lobell).